Written on 16-Sep-2009 by
panokrokoA simple outline of what I propose saying is as follows.
An equal carbon allowance per person is a very difficult and probably undesirable situation in most nations.
However it is probably true that every state needs to move much closer to equal emissions per person than is now the case.
The need for very large cuts in emissions will occur almost overnight. This will result from the almost certain failure of the talks in Copenhagen. The ultimate cause of this failure will be the fact that global temperatures have been below the Berkeley line so that people around the world have not experienced sufficient disruption from Global Warming to date.
When the Berkeley line temperature is exceeded there will be grave concern around the world and every nation will be ready to make desperate reductions in carbon emissions and probably to sanction the use of geo engineering.
The most effective method of deep and immediate cuts in carbon emissions will be a severe and high carbon tax. There will need to be a higher guaranteed in come for the poor. The effect of this is that many people in society will have almost equal, though very restricted, access to carbon produced energy.
In this situation it is essential that people react in different ways to the problem so that the optimum solution to the very restricted energy budget is arrived at. Hence there should be very little regulation other than the carbon tax. It was a mistake to remove incandescent light bulbs and to have efficiency standards for motor cars and also many of the safety standards like crash worthiness and the requirement for seat belts. In addition to all this passenger duty for airline passengers should be removed as should all other taxes other than an enormous carbon tax on motorists.
The reasoning behind this is that if everyone makes their very different choices about how to spend their money then the highest possible living standards will be arrived at. As regards motoring many people will give up motoring altogether a few will probably opt for safer motoring in cars which retain all the safety features but will not travel very far. A larger number probably will opt for cheap cars with very little in the way of safety standards other than the good brakes which will be retained as a safety feature and will freewheel down hills at higher speeds than are allowed at present.
This is the only way that personal mobility will be maintained.
The motoring illustration illuminates the huge variation in the ways in which people will spend their money, which is effectively very largely a carbon allowance. Only by allowing freedom in the way this allowance is spent can the community gain the highest possible freedom wealth and satisfaction.
All the Best,
John B Davies personal